Description

This analysis provides a forecast of MATIC prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2024-12-08 00:00:00+00:00 0.458033 0.524083 0.593050 0.670154 0.753671 0.841136 0.939390
2024-12-15 00:00:00+00:00 0.381719 0.476323 0.580525 0.702700 0.840927 0.991428 1.166637
2024-12-22 00:00:00+00:00 0.306658 0.417358 0.545792 0.703171 0.888241 1.096545 1.346297
2024-12-29 00:00:00+00:00 0.266111 0.391673 0.544148 0.738039 0.973283 1.245038 1.578261
2025-01-05 00:00:00+00:00 0.220736 0.353021 0.521411 0.743551 1.021266 1.349956 1.761320
2025-01-12 00:00:00+00:00 0.184108 0.320001 0.501118 0.748412 1.066091 1.450230 1.939584
2025-01-19 00:00:00+00:00 0.158903 0.298653 0.492903 0.766292 1.125761 1.568308 2.140342
2025-01-26 00:00:00+00:00 0.139750 0.283005 0.490070 0.789550 1.191449 1.693937 2.351527
2025-02-02 00:00:00+00:00 0.123253 0.268794 0.487287 0.811490 1.254795 1.816835 2.560498
2025-02-09 00:00:00+00:00 0.102961 0.245194 0.468281 0.808916 1.284326 1.896169 2.715242
2025-02-16 00:00:00+00:00 0.089454 0.230810 0.461299 0.821986 1.334102 2.001388 2.903229
2025-02-23 00:00:00+00:00 0.074271 0.210700 0.443301 0.817375 1.358520 2.073043 3.048530
2025-03-02 00:00:00+00:00 0.057635 0.184746 0.413805 0.794411 1.357146 2.111561 3.153362
2025-03-09 00:00:00+00:00 0.049610 0.174661 0.409449 0.808785 1.408277 2.220420 3.350702
2025-03-16 00:00:00+00:00 0.038983 0.156231 0.388728 0.796203 1.419745 2.275497 3.477907
2025-03-23 00:00:00+00:00 0.035214 0.153125 0.394829 0.825988 1.493117 2.415492 3.718538
2025-03-30 00:00:00+00:00 0.028721 0.141345 0.383716 0.827069 1.523780 2.496977 3.882074
2025-04-06 00:00:00+00:00 0.023365 0.130900 0.373892 0.829355 1.555731 2.580189 4.048379
2025-04-13 00:00:00+00:00 0.020084 0.125495 0.373281 0.846708 1.610374 2.695382 4.258538
2025-04-20 00:00:00+00:00 0.017713 0.122221 0.376536 0.870461 1.674883 2.824858 4.488871
2025-04-27 00:00:00+00:00 0.015541 0.118888 0.379277 0.893196 1.738020 2.952935 4.718293
2025-05-04 00:00:00+00:00 0.012101 0.109304 0.367680 0.890047 1.760629 3.023474 4.869664
2025-05-11 00:00:00+00:00 0.010093 0.104414 0.365743 0.903729 1.809506 3.131771 5.073411